Key takeaways:

• Over 70% of XRP’s realized cap was accumulated near recent highs, echoing previous market top patterns.

• XRP’s active address count has plunged over 90% since March 2025, signaling reduced transactional demand.

• A falling wedge pattern points to a potential 25% drop toward key support at the $1.76 level.

XRP (

The realized cap of the 3-to-6-month group—a younger coin age band—has risen since November 2024, including dramatic increases witnessed after January 2025, when the XRP price peaked at around $3.40.

This top-heavy market structure is historically fragile, as newer investors tend to be more sensitive to price swings, often triggering sharper sell-offs during corrections.

In late 2017, XRP saw a massive influx of capital from young coins just before peaking near $3.55, followed by a prolonged 95% drawdown.

The pattern repeated in 2021, when another sharp rise in the realized cap by short-term holders preceded a nearly 80% decline, raising the possibility that

While it’s not a guaranteed warning sign, the sharp drop in active addresses could mean fewer people are using XRP to send or receive funds, and more are just holding.

XRP technicals hint at 25% price decline

XRP’s weekly chart shows the price consolidating within a falling wedge pattern.

As of May 26, the cryptocurrency was showing signs of entering a short-term correction cycle after failing to break above the wedge’s upper trendline.

A broader pullback could push the XRP price toward the wedge’s lower trendline if the recent price action is any indication.

The lower trendline aligns with the 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave) near $1.76, down about 25% from the current levels.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.